5-7th July 2004
Barcelona, Spain
2nd International
ASRANet Colloquium 2004 Programme
You can download a Word version here
Monday 5th July 2004
0800 Registration.
0845 Opening session.
The opening address will be given by Professor Eugenio Onate,
Director of CIMNE
Session 1 Structural
Risk Management, Human and Organisational Factors
Co-chairs:
0900 Keynote paper: Implementation of human factors analysis
in QRA & SRA. Professor Ove Gudmestad, Statoil, Norway &
Dr Roger Stolnes, Holte Prosjekt, Norway
0930 Health And Safety Risks: Important in Choosing Construction
Processes and in Quantitative Construction Risk Analysis? Dr
A. Maitra and Dr T.D.G.. Canisius, BRE Ltd, UK
0945 Strategies For Probabilistic Assessment Of Sub-Sea Trenched
Pipelines. Dr Tatjana Micic, University of London, UK
1000 Towards the Integration of Human and Organisation Factors
in Risk Assessment. A Case Study for the Marine Industry.Dr Mauro
Pedrali, D'Appolonia S.p.A.; Dr Paolo Trucco, Dr Enrico Cagno,
Politecnico di Milano; and Dr Fabrizio Ruggeri, CNR IMATI, Italy
1015 Risk Management Framework for Structural Assets. Dr Navil
Shetty, Atkins Rail UK
1030 Discussion
1100-1120 Tea
Session 2 Management
of Deteriorating Structures
Co-chairs:
1120 Keynote paper: Health Monitoring And Life-Cycle Performance
Of Structural Systems. Professor Dan Frangopol, University of
Colorado, USA & Professor Yozo Fujino, University of Tokyo,
Japan
1150 Life Cycle Risk Assessment Of Geotechnical Structures In
Degrading Soil. Ms Mona Abd Alghaffar, and Dr Christina Dymiotis-Wellington,
City University, UK
1205 Use of Zero-Defect Correction Approach On Erroneous Corrosion
Data For Pipeline Remaining LifeTime Evaluation. Mr Norhazilan
Bin Md Noor, and Professor Julian Wolfram, Heriot-Watt University,
UK
1220 Modelling The Deterioration Of The Structural Capacity Of
Reinforced Concrete Beams Due To Corrosion In Saline Environments.
Professor Robert E Melchers, The University of Newcastle, Australia;
Dr C Q Li, Dr W Lawanwisut, and Z J Chen, University of Dundee,
UK
1235 Aspects Of Modelling Uncertainty In Predicting Chloride
Induced Deterioration For Concrete Bridges. M. Imran Rafiq, Professor
Marios K Chrysanthopoulos, Dr Toula Onoufriou, University of
Surrey, UK
1250 Discussion
1315-1430 Lunch
Session 3 Seismic Risk and Reliability Assessment 1
Co-chairs:
1430 Keynote paper: Risk assessment of buildings subjected to seismic loadings. Application to Barcelona, Spain. Professor Alex H. Barbat, Technical University of Catalonia, Spain
1500 Research Activity For The Definition Of The Conceptual Framework And Operative Tools For The Design And The Analysis Of The Messina Bridge. Dr Franco Bontempi, Mr Luciano Catallo, and Mr Luca Sgambi, University of Rome "La Sapienza", Italy
1515 Seismic Risk Evaluation and Life-Cycle Cost Analysis of Bridge Structures. Professor Hitoshi Furuta, Kansai University, Japan; Mr Kazuhiro Koyama, Kansai University, Japan; Professor Masahiro Dogaki, Kansai University, Japan; and Professor Dan M. Frangopol, University of Colorado, USA
1530 Reliability Based Design Of Structures Considering Earthquake Loads In Brazilian Southeast Region. Professor Sergio Hampshire de Carvalho Santos, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
15.45 Discussion
1605-1625 Tea
Session 4 Computational
Methods in ASA and SRA 1
Co-chairs:
1625 Keynote Paper: Advances in Structural Reliability. Professor
Ton Vrouwenvelder, M Ch TU Delft, Netherlands and Professor Marios
K Chrysanthopoulos
1655 Application Of Fractile Correlations And Copulas For Non-Gaussian
Processes. Professor K.K. Phoon, H.W. Huang, and Professor S.T.
Quek, The National University of Singapore, Singapore
1710 Structural Reliability Analysis with Inclusion of Random
Variables of Unknown Distributions. Professor Yan-Gang Zhao,
Professor Tetsuro Ono, Dr Jun He & Yusen Lin, Nagoya Institute
of Technology, Japan
1725 Damage Detection by Monte Carlo Filter with Adaptive Noises.
Dr Ikumasa Yoshida, Tokyo Electric Power Services Co. Ltd., Japan
and Professor Tadanobu Sato, Kyoto University, Japan
1740 Natural Frequencies Of Circular Annular Plates Of Polar
Orthotropy And Variable Thickness. Professor B. Liang, and Professor
D. Y. Chen, Henan University of Science & Technology, China
1755 Discussion
1815 Session ends
18.30 - 19.30 Reception
at Fira Palace
Tuesday 6th July
2004
Session 5 Risk Based
Inspection and Maintenance Planning
Co-chairs:
0830 Keynote paper: Computational Aspects of Generic Risk Based
Inspection Planning. Professor Michael H. Faber and D Straub,
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Switzerland
0900 Development of RCM Requirements for the Marine Industry.
Robert M.Conachey, American Bureau of Shipping, USA
0915 Risk Based Maintenance Optimization of Bridge Structures.
Dr Zoubir Lounis, National Research Council, Canada
0930 Reliability-Based Comparison of Efficacy of Offshore Fatigue
Inspection Plans. Mark Manzocchi, Atkins, UK, Dr Alex Stacey,
Health & Safety Executive, UK and Dr Navil Shetty, Atkins
Rail, UK
0945 Integration of Structural Reliability Analysis into the
Reliability Centred Maintenance approach during engineering systems
life-cycle. Dr Claudia Vivalda, Bureau Veritas, Italy, &
Professor Andrea Carpignano, Politecnico di Torino, Italy
1000 Discussion
1020-1040 Coffee
Session 6 Seismic Risk and Reliability Assessment 2
Co-chairs:
1040 Seismic Reliability Of Electric Power Transmission Systems.
Professor Yan-Gang Zhao, Professor Tetsuro Ono, and Dr Jun He,
Nagoya Institute of Technology, Japan
1055 Seismic Reliability Analysis Using Response Surface: A Simplified
Approach. Mr Marko I.J. Schotanus, European School for Advanced
Studies in Reduction of Seismic Risk (ROSE school), Italy and
Dr Paolo Franchin, University of Rome "La Sapienza",
Italy
1110 Macro-Spatial Correlation Structure of Seismic Ground Motions
of the 1999 Chi-Chi Earthquake. Professor Tsuyoshi Takada, and
Tetsuto Shimomura, University of Tokyo, Japan
1125 Discussion
Session 7 Computational
Methods in ASA and SRA 2
Co-chairs:
1140 Artificial neural network and its application to composite
plate reliability analysis. Ahmed M H Elhewy, Dr E. Mesbahi and
Dr Yongchang Pu, School of Marine Science and Technology, University
of Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
1155 An elasto-plastic total langrangian shell formulation for
large displacements. P.D. Gosling, and I.M. Roy, School of Engineering
and Geoscience, University of Newcastle, UK
1210 Probabilistic simulation based safety and serviceability
assessment of steel columns according to the second order theory.
P. Konecny and Professor P. Marek, VŠB Technical University
of Ostrava, Czech Republic
1225 Safety and servieability assessment of steel structures
containing semi rigid joints using probabilistic SBRA method.
V. Krivy and Professor P. Marek, VŠB Technical University
of Ostrava, Czech Republic
1240 Discussion
1300-1415 Lunch
Session 8 Integration
of Structural Analysis, Risk and Reliability
Co-chairs:
1415 Keynote paper: Risk-based optimisation of life-cycle costs
for structural facilities. Professor Rudiger Rackwitz, Technische
Universitat Munchen, Germany
1445 Comparison of methods for computing the response coefficients
in stochastic finite element analysis. Dr Marc Berveiller, Electricité
de France; Dr Bruno Sudret, Electricité de France, Dr
Maurice Lemaire, Institut Français de Mécanique
Avancée, France
1500 Structural Reliability of Ship Structures with Advanced
Hull Girder Modelling. Ioannis Moatsos, and Professor Purnendu
K Das, Universities of Glasgow and Strathclyde, UK
1515 The Integration of Structural Reliability Assessment and
Structural Monitoring. Professor M.J. Baker; Ian Stanley and
Alex Warren, University of Aberdeen, UK
1530 A Systems Updating Approach For Proactive Health Monitoring
Of Concrete Bridges. M. Imran Rafiq; Professor Marios K Chrysanthopoulos;
and Dr Toula Onoufriou, University of Surrey, UK
1545 Discussion
1600 - 1620 Tea
1620 Probability of brittle fracture for
a cracked ship. Dr J.S.Kent and J.D.G. Sumpter, QinetiQ, UK
1635 Finite element reliability analysis of cooling towers submitted
to degradation. Dr Bruno Sudret, Electricité de France,
Mr Gilles Defaux, Phimeca Engineering S.A, France and Dr Maurice
Pendola, Phimeca Engineering S.A, France
1650 Probabilistic Assessment of Fatigue Failure of Train Wheels.
Julian Austin
1705 Structural analysis as enactment and sensemaking, Dr F Bontempi,
University of Rome "La Sapienza", Italy
1720 Reliability Analysis of Railway Bridges under Train Dynamic
loads Using Response Surface Method. Professor Saeed Mohammadzadeh
and Professor Mohsen-Ali Shayanfar, Iran University of Science
and Technology (IUST), Iran
1735 Discussion
1930 for 2000 Conference
Dinner
Wednesday 7th July 2004
Session 9 Probabilistic
Load Modelling
Co-chairs:
0900 Extending Ferry-Borges Method For Combination Of Time Dependent
Loads With Invariant Modelling Uncertainties Using Form. Professor
Engin Aktas, Izmir Institute of Technology, Turkey
0915 Reliability calculations for design of FPSOs and FSUs against
green water loading. Dr E.J. Ballard, PAFA consulting engineers,
UK; Professor N.D.P. Barltrop, University of Glasgow and Strathclyde,
UK; Mr A.J. Fyfe, P A F A consulting engineers, UK; and Dr T.Hodgson,
PAFA consulting engineers, UK
0930 Reliability calculations for design of FPSOs and FSUs against
wave slam. Dr E.J. Ballard, P A F A consulting engineers, UK;
Professor N.D.P. Barltrop, University of Glasgow and Strathclyde,
UK; Mr A.J. Fyfe, P A F A consulting engineers, UK; and Dr T.Hodgson,
P A F A consulting engineers, UK
0945 Probabilistic Hydrodynamic Loading on Seabed Structures.
Mr Ivar R. Iversen, Prospect Flow Solutions Limited, UK
1000 A New Probability Model For Offshore Structural Response
Due To Random Morison Wave Loading. Dr Gholamhossein Najafian,
Professor R. Burrows and Mr R.G. Tickell, University of Liverpool,
UK
1015 Combination Of Stochastic Loads For A Reliability Evaluation
Of The Hull Girder In Extreme Conditions. Dr Enrico Rizzuto,
DINAV-University of Genoa, Italy
1030 Discussion
1050-1110 Coffee
Session 10 Reliability
Based Design, Optimisation & Codes
Co-chairs:
1110 Application of Ship and Offshore Structures Limit State
Criteria in ISO Standards. Dr Paul Frieze, PAFA Consulting Engineers,
UK
1125 ABS Approach to Classification using Risk Analyses. Maria
Verzbolovskis, American Bureau of Shipping, USA
1140 Efficient Computational Strategies for Reliability-Based
Optimization. Professor Sankaran Mahadevan, Vanderbilt University,
USA
1155 On Carter's statistical design method for mechanical components:
Hussam Ahmed and P J Clark
1210 Sensitivity To Correlation Matrix In Reliability Based Design.
Professor Vedran Žanic, Josip Hozmec, Marko Stipcevic, University
of Zagreb, Croatia
1225 Efficient Tools For Reliability-Based Optimisation. Professor
Jaroslav Mencik, University of Pardubice, Czech Republic
1240 Kriging Simulation in Structural Reliability Analysis. Zhang
Qi and Professor Li Xingsi, Dalian University of Technology,
China
1255 Discussion
1315 Session ends
1315 - 1430 Lunch
Session 11 Risk Acceptance
Criteria and Assessment for Accidental Events
Co-chairs:
1430 Keynote Paper: Approaches to risk acceptance. Professor
Tim Bedford, Strathclyde University, UK
1500 Assessment of Large Panel System Buildings against Internal
Gas Explosion Pressures: The Need for a Risk-Based Approach.
Dr T.D.G. Canisius, S.L. Matthews, and B.R. Reeves, BRE Ltd,
UK
1515 Coastal and River-Sea Ship Hull Risk Assessment. Dr Gennadiy
V. Egorov, Marine Engineering Bureau, Ukraine
1530 Probabilistic Damage Analysis of Offshore Installations.
Dr S. Yasseri, Halliburton KBR, UK
1545 Deck Vibration Spectra for Minimum Structures due to Vessel
Impacts. Dr Gage S. Grewal, MMI, UK
1600 Reliability Analysis Of Bridge Piers Against Scouring. N.
A. Siddiqui, M. Muzammil, and A. F. Siddiqui, Aligarh Muslim
University, India
1615 Discussion
1635 Closing Remarks
1645 Conference Ends